Week 10: Safe Bets

Safety is the name of the game in cash games, but FantasyDraft also pays out at least 25 percent of the field in every single contest, including tournaments, as well. This should motivate users to lean towards safe options in all formats on a site that puts #PlayersFirst. Without the top-heavy nature of tournaments, single entrants do not have to go with a “YOLO (you only live once)” mindset in tournaments, but can play for a solid cash instead. That makes life a whole lot easier.

Here are the “safe bets,” or players who can be inserted into lineups without fear of a dud, for week 10:

Tom Brady, Patriots, $16,400 – Okay so this seems so obvious but I felt like the name Tom Brady needed to be reiterated this week. 25.30 is the lowest fantasy point output Brady has produced through seven games and this will be the best matchup he’ll face all season. The Patriots will head to the Meadowlands to face the Giants; the same team that allowed Drew Brees to throw for 505 yards and seven touchdowns (TDs) two weeks ago. The outburst by the Saints’ quarterback (QB) was not an anomaly considering the Giants allow the passing yards per game of any team by approximately seven yards per game (ahead of second place Oakland). So the NFL’s leader in TD passes who ranks second in passing yards per game (to only Brees) will square off against the weakest pass defense? This game could legitimately be a massacre so you won’t want to go through week 10 with limited shares of the New England passing offense. All their usuals are in play and primed to explode.

Matt Jones, Redskins, $6.400 – Most weeks Matt Jones will receive a dozen or so touches and this week against the Saints he should be able to make the most of those. Only the Panthers, Giants, 49ers and Falcons have allowed more receptions (RECs) to running backs (RBs) and we know which Washington back fills the “receiving back role”. Hint: it’s not Alfred Morris. At this basement price, he doesn’t have to do much in order to hit value and I think he eclipses 50 yards rushing with four to five catches. He also allows you to build around him with studs which is much needed on a week that both the aforementioned Brady and Aaron Rodgers are unquestionably in play.

Justin Forsett, Ravens, $11,600 – As you’ll soon find out, I expect the Jaguars/Ravens game this week to be a shootout. Justin Forsett will receive a full workload in a game where his team has the fourth highest projected Vegas total (26.8 points). There is a proven correlation between Vegas lines and RB fantasy production and Forsett’s price tag is rather reasonable. The Jaguars rank middle of the pack in terms of RECs and rushing yards allowed to RBs. However, the Jags have also allowed eight rushing TDs. Assuming Javarious Allen does not vulture touches at the goal line, Forsett has a reasonably shot at topping off a solid outing with a TD as well.

Allen Robinson, Jaguars, $13,200 – Along with the Ravens’ running game, the Jaguars’ passing game, specifically the wide receivers (WRs), are in play this week as well. In terms of safety, the obvious choice here is Allen Robinson as opposed to Allen Hurns. Despite going one-on-one with Darrelle Revis last week, Robinson still managed to eclipse the 20 fantasy point plateau for the fourth straight week. He has developed into a true number one WR and is not yet priced as such. Guys like Calvin Johnson, Emmanuel Sanders, A.J. Green and Mike Evans are priced higher than Robinson but Robinson averages more fantasy points per game than any of them. He’s proven to be an incredibly valuable commodity and has emerged as a true WR1/top target. There is nothing scary about this matchup with the Ravens as they allowed the second most fantasy points to WRs behind just Kansas City and have allowed the most TDs. Expect a fifth straight 20-plus fantasy point outing from Robinson with the potential to peak into the 30’s.

Jarvis Landry, Dolphins, $13,200 – Jarvis Landry has caught at least five passes in five of seven games so far this season and one of the “outliers” was a three REC, 42 yard day with 2 rushes for 24 yards and a TD. He hasn’t scored less than 10.90 fantasy points in any game and even that performance came against Darrelle Revis and the New York Jets. The Eagles most certainly are not the Jets and Landry will move all over the formation; he should get his once again. What I love about him is he can prove to be a significant contributor even if he doesn’t score a TD. Players that aren’t TD-dependent are the personification of safe and ones you love to have in your cash lineups on a weekly basis.

Greg Olsen, Panthers, $12,000 – The Titans are tough to pass on but they do allow the seventh most fantasy points to opposing tight ends (TEs)…and guess what…Cam Newton loves to target his TE. This, to me, is clearly a week to pay up for TEs as Rob Gronkowski and Olsen stand out as “the” plays. So if you’re not Gronking this week, look to Olsen who has scored a TD in four of his last six games.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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