Players to Avoid in Week Four

Eli Manning, Giants, $13,500 – Quite surprisingly, Eli Manning has not thrown an interception (INT) in 108 pass attempts this season. Throughout his career, Manning has thrown 185 INTs in 172 games or 1.08 INTs per game. Unfortunately, Manning has not thrown many touchdowns (TDs) either (only four in three games). That ratio (1.33 TDs per game) is lower than his career average of 1.53 TDs per game, though Manning has now thrown for at least 279 yards and two TDs in back-to-back games. Although the over/under of the Giants’ week four game sits at 46.5, Vegas only implies that the Giants will score 20.3 points against the stout Buffalo Bills defense. They have allowed the second-most passing yards, but I think that statistic is a bit skewed considering the matchups they have drawn so far. Two of the three QBs they have faced are Andrew Luck and Tom Brady. The Bills’ pass rush won’t get any credit, but they still have managed the 12th-most sacks despite some difficult foes. In other words, do not expect Manning to just go nuts because the matchup looks juicy. The Bills have allowed the least amount of rushing yards thus far and should shut down a pretty weak Giants rushing attack. If the team gets nothing out of the run game, I think their offense will become too predictable. If that’s the case, a Rex Ryan defense will have a field day with Manning, therefore making him a player to avoid.

Doug Martin, Buccaneers, $8,400 – Tampa Bay’s offensive line isn’t great, which hasn’t helped Doug Martin, yet he has averaged a respectable 3.8 yards per carry (YPC) this season. In three games, Martin’s season high for rushing yardage in a single game sits at 78, which he produced in week two against the Saints. Still, Martin has yet to find the end zone this season and has caught only three passes (not conducive to a big score with FantasyDraft’s PPR format). Change of pace back Charles Sims scored the backfield’s first TD last week via a reception. Sims has touched the ball seven, 11 and eight times in the three games and this upcoming game against the Carolina Panthers has all the feel of a Sims-type game. Only three teams have allowed less rushing yards through three games than the Panthers, and Tampa opened as three-point underdogs. Judging by the way Cam Newton came into his own last week, three points may not be enough. Martin has a tough matchup as it is, but if the team gets down early, he could be a forgotten man in the game plan. Despite the reasonable price, there’s simply not much reason to use him in a low-upside matchup.

Allen Robinson, Jaguars, $10,500 – Every week a few unfortunate wide receivers (WRs) will draw a matchup against some of the game’s best cornerbacks. One of these unlucky fellows is Allen Robinson, who will this week earn a date with Vontae Davis. It should be noted that Davis allowed his first TD in over a year last week as massive Dorial Green-Beckham finally hauled one in over the elite cover corner. Robinson is a talented receiver, but Green-Beckham has three inches and 15 pounds on him (evening the score some from Davis’ perspective). In other words, it’s going to be a tough game for a guy who doesn’t have the extreme size advantage like Green-Beckham did. Many have gone up against Davis and come up empty, and I think Robinson will this week. The better targets in the Jaguars’ offense are T.J. Yeldon and Allen Hurns (who should have a better game than Robinson and come at a discount).

Marques Colston/Brandon Coleman, Saints – Yet again, when it comes to football, we know nothing. With Marques Colston’s skills declining, many speculated Brandon Coleman would emerge as the Saints’ second WR. After playing 78 percent of the team’s snaps (58 total) in week one, it appeared that those on the Coleman bandwagon would be off sipping tea, celebrating for the rest of the season. As Lee Corso famously says, “Not so fast my friend!” Coleman’s snap percentage played deteriorated to 53 percent in week two and 47 percent in week three. Why? Willie Snead is on the rise, ladies and gentlemen. Here are Snead’s snap percentages by week: 24, 50 and 61. It appears he is emerging as the second option, so I simply would stay away from Colston and Coleman even if Brees is deemed active. They are falling out of the offensive plan and are just too volatile.

Jordan Reed, Redskins, $9,100 – Philadelphia plays a fast-paced style, yet they have completely shut down opposing tight ends (TEs). In three games, TEs have only managed 16 catches on 20 targets for 105 yards and zero TDs. Small sample sizes can be misleading, but the Eagles dominance against opposing TEs stretches back to last season as well (they allowed the third-least fantasy points to the position). Jason Witten is the only real TE threat to have faced Philadelphia this season; he caught seven passes for 56 yards one week after catching nine passes and scoring twice. If Witten is held quiet against this defense, Jordan Reed should be as well… even after catching six passes for 96 yards last week. Do not try and ride the momentum, because it should be one of the other targets who shines in this one.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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