May the Fors Be With You

The Rays, and specifically Logan Forsythe, will look to open a can of whoop ass on Tommy Milone at home on Thursday night. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster.

Infield:

Matt Carpenter, Cardinals, $8,400 (Night) – A trend will develop in this article when you get to the outfield because you’ll realize that I really like the Cardinals offense against Rubby De La Rosa. The Diamondbacks righty has been burned by LHHs this season to the tune of a .313/.370/.567 slash line and 17 of his 25 (!) HRs allowed. Even on the road, the Cardinals opened as -130 favorites in a game with the third highest expected total of the night slate (eight runs). After hitting just 19 HRs in 2013 and 2014 combined, Matt Carpenter has already hit 19 in 2015. He has found his power stroke and most has come against RHP: 14 of his 19 HRs. A powerful lefty against a pitcher who can’t stop them has big night written all over him.

Logan Forsythe, Rays, $7,600 (Night) – Let me tell you the story of Logan Forsythe’s 2015 season… Once upon a time Forsythe made the Rays team and became one of their better hitters. Although on the outside his AVG and OBP look very similar against both sides of the plate (and they are), a trend developed in the splits. Like many of the Rays, Forsythe produces much more power with his bat against LHP. It’s even much improved from last year’s .411 SLG against LHP as this year he’s slugging .569. His .392 wOBA against lefties this season ranks higher than Adam Jones (.390), Troy Tulowitzki (.385), Victor Martinez (.379), Yasiel Puig (.378) and Edwin Encarnacion (.364) to name a few. The guy has been an absolute machine this season and will face Tommy Milone and his .283/.336/.492 slash line allowed to RHHs. He’s my favorite value of the night.

Outfield:

Stephen Piscotty, Cardinals, $8,700 (Night) – “This guy is freakin’ Babe Ruth!” Yes, all Stephen Piscotty has done since reaching the major league level has hit. His .358 wOBA against RHP ranks third on the team behind only injured Randal Grichuk and the aforementioned Carpenter. His AVG currently sits at an impressive .316 overall. However, the number that opens my eyes in this matchup is the .229 ISO against RHP. Rubby De La Rosa has allowed 25 HR in 25 starts, and as mentioned in the Carpenter tidbit, most of the damage has come against LHHs. I think Piscotty is just seeing the ball so well right now that you can play against De La Rosa’s splits and stack right-handed Piscotty along with Carpenter and maybe even Kolten Wong. This could be a night the Cardinals offense comes alive and I definitely will be looking to incorporate some shares.

Shane Victorino, Angels, $5,400 (Day) – Since being acquired by the Angels, Mike Scoscia has liked using Shane Victorino in the leadoff spot against LHP. It makes a lot of sense considering his .376 career wOBA against LHP ranks third on the team behind only Albert Pujols (.420) and Mike Trout (.392). He has also reached base at a .371 clip for his career against the handedness. RHHs have produced a .330 wOBA against Randy Wolf over his 13 year career but his most recent sample (2014) shows his skills deteriorating and righties starting to hit him harder (.404 wOBA) that season. At the value price of $5,400, he makes a lot of sense to roster in order to fit both of the aces in the day slate.

Pitcher:

Zack Greinke, Dodgers, $24,900 (Day) – The Reds offense has been struggling recent which stem from the extended cold streak of Todd Frazier. Prior to the All-Star Break, Frazier slashed .284/.337/.585 with 25 HR and 57 RBI in 342 ABs. Since the All-Star Break, Frazier has dropped off a cliff: .214/.261/.379 slash line with only four HR and 18 RBI in 145 ABs. Partially thanks to his unproductivity, the Reds now rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, OBP and hard hit percentage against RHP. Zack Greinke is amidst a historic season and leads the MLB in ERA at 1.67. Throw him into any type of matchup with a weak or scuffling offense and it’s advantage Greinke. Both he and the next pitcher make all the sense in the world in daytime cash games.

Madison Bumgarner, Giants, $24,800 (Day) – Facing a Cubs team that has produced a 18-4 record in the month of August, Madison Bumgarner still opened as a -175 favorite at home in a game with a projected over/under of seven. AT&T Park has ranked as baseball’s most favorable pitchers’ park over the past two seasons so it’s no wonder Bumgarner’s splits have favored pitching at home this year (2.05 ERA at home versus 4.17 on the road). The Cubs have some monster bats but a majority of them are left-handed so it makes sense why they rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA against LHP. They also strike out the absolute most of any team in baseball against LHP which means the ceiling is sky high for Bumgarner in this one. If I had to pick one of the two in tournaments to pair with Yordano Ventura, I would go with the MadBum.

Gerrit Cole, Pirates, $24,400 (Night) – Okay so Gerrit Cole’s 3.60 ERA is the highest of any month so far this season but here are the offenses he has faced: Cincinnati, Los Angeles Dodgers, St. Louis, Arizona and San Francisco. The Dodgers, Giants and Diamondbacks all rank in the top 10 of wOBA against RHP and the Cardinals are a crafty bunch… we’ve already gone over the Reds. Cole, who still only sports a 2.49 season ERA, will now get a chance to face the weakest hitting team in the National League: the Marlins. Against a team that ranks in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, BB rate, OBP, hard hit percentage and line driver percentage, it’s very likely Cole bounces back in a big way.

Joe Ross, Nationals, $19,500 (Night) – Finding a SP2 in the night slate is a very difficult proposition but I think I’ve found my guy. Joe Ross, brother of Tyson Ross, will face Tyson’s Padres at home. The Nationals opened as -164 favorites in a 7.5 run projected game and will face an opposing starter (Andrew Cashner) with an ERA over 4.00. The active Nationals hitters have proven to be a formidable foe against Cashner as they’ve registered a .281 AVG against him. Ryan Zimmerman is the only hitter to have donged off of Cashner but I think Bryce Harper will change that in the friendly confines of his home ballpark as opposed to Petco Park. I think the Nationals continue to produce offense like they have against Cashner and they win the game. Furthermore, the Padres rank in the bottom four of wOBA (and just about everything) while striking out at 21.30 percent against RHP. All the stars are aligned for the 22 year old righty, so go with the biggest Ross that you’ve seen thus far.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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