Greink the Tank

With plenty of pitching on the slate, you’ll still want to pay up to get Zack Greinke in your lineups on Tuesday. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster.

Infield:

Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks, $11,000 – As a simple overview, this is the game’s best fantasy player (and maybe just best player overall) in the game’s best ballpark against Kyle Kendrick and his 5.95 ERA. Coors Field continues to be the most dangerous fade in daily fantasy baseball because of just how much more hitter-friendly it is than the second best park (Wrigley Field). Paul Goldschmidt‘s wOBA against RHP pitching this season is an insane .466. He’s hitting .351 with a .483 OBP. Most major league pitching has been easy for him to hit, so give him a bad pitcher basically on the moon and it doesn’t matter what he costs. He’s in line for a monster game and a monster series.

Buster Posey, Giants, $8,700 – Typically, I like to avoid catchers, but this matchup is too good to pass on (and Buster Posey has been playing a fair amount of first base). Odrisamer Despaigne and his season 4.92 ERA head to AT&T Park to square off against the Giants in this one. Despite not having a great overall season, Despaigne has only allowed a .317 wOBA and .239 AVG to opposing lefties. I initially wanted to write about Brandon Belt, who is still in play, but the splits simply lined up better for the former All-Star catcher. Posey, a right-handed hitter, ranks second on the team with a .379 wOBA against RHP this season and second to Matt Duffy with a .309 AVG. Righties have crushed Despaigne to the point that they are hitting over .300 against him (.301). They are also producing a .355 wOBA, which means these aren’t just singles being hit off of him. Even though Posey is technically a catcher, and FantasyDraft’s flexible format motivates one to fade catchers almost always, this is a great time to use him.

Outfield:

Brett Gardner, Yankees, $9,400 – What a night Brett Gardner enjoyed on Monday; he went 4-4 with two bunt hits (one to each side of the infield), a HR and three RBI. Hopefully he has plenty left in the tank, because he finds himself in another excellent situation on Tuesday. Still hitting in Yankee Stadium, Sean O’Sullivan will toe the mound. Of all starting pitchers with at least 20 IP versus left-handed hitters this season, O’Sullivan is allowing the highest wOBA (.427). The slash line against him for lefties is .322/.394/.636. He has been absolutely brutal this season, so really all Yankee lefties are in play. Make sure you check in and see who is catching, because Carlos Ruiz rates as a bottom three catcher in rSB according to FanGraphs this season. In other words, he has been among the worst at throwing out opposing base stealers. The matchup will go from great to elite if Ruiz ends up catching over Cameron Rupp, so stay tuned. For what it’s worth, he’s extremely viable regardless.

David Peralta, Diamondbacks, $8,600 – Typically under-priced, the trek to Coors Field has inflated Peralta’s price all the way up to $8,600. Do not fret though, because he is absolutely worth it against Kendrick. David Peralta ranks second on the Diamondbacks in career wOBA against RHP (.356) behind Goldschmidt. On most nights against righties, Peralta bats fourth, yet his price usually sits a tier or two below outfielders such as Josh Reddick, etc. When a player heads to Coors. they naturally take a price increase. When they are the four hitter with great splits against the handedness of the opposing pitcher, you would think their price would eclipse $9,000. Considering Peralta’s didn’t jump quite that high, he still makes for a fantastic value in hitters’ heaven.

Pitcher:

David Price, Tigers, $21,800 – The Indians are just about as neutral of a matchup as it gets for opposing lefties. They rank 15th, or exactly in the middle of all MLB teams, in wOBA against LHP in 2015. When Price faced the Indians on Jun. 12 at home, he threw a complete game shutout. The Indians have not been better since then, as they have scored the fewest runs of any team in the month of June. Unfortunately, the upside against them isn’t astronomical because they strike out the second least against lefties and it took Price nine innings to K eight batters last time. As long as he is getting the outs, it won’t even matter how. Due to the likely K ceiling, Price is better served for cash games.

Zack Greinke, Dodgers, $20,400 – Wrigley Field was not kind to Clayton Kershaw on Monday as he was defeated by Kris Bryant and the Cubbies. Zack Greinke will pitch in the same hitter-friendly ballpark against the same squad on Tuesday, but his prospects actually look a heck of a lot better. The Cubs are a stout offense against LHP as mentioned in the “Today’s Plays” article from yesterday. Against righties, it’s quite the different story. The Cubs rank bottom 12 in wOBA and rank just a hair behind the first place Astros for highest K rate. They do possess a fair amount of power, but do not hit for average and can obviously be retired via the strikeout. With a career 8.1 K/9, Greinke possesses the strikeout ability necessary. His 0.94 WHIP also signifies just how well he keeps runners off base. With power as the Cubs main weapon, let Greinke’s 1.71 road ERA so far this season ease your concerns. He has top starting pitcher of the night upside with the strikeout potential and will be worth deploying in both cash games and tournaments.

Carlos Martinez, Cardinals, $17,00 – As the starting pitcher for the visiting Cardinals, Carlos Martinez opened Tuesday as a -135 favorite in Marlins Park. The Marlins rank bottom ten in wOBA, K rate, wRC+, ISO, BB rate and OBP versus RHP. So if just about every statistical category suggests they are a plus matchup, what would be the hesitation? Two words: Giancarlo Stanton. If an opposing pitcher shuts him down, then it will likely be smooth sailing, but that’s a big “if.” Vegas has faith that Martinez will, as he’s the favorite in a game with a 7.5 over/under, and I tend to agree. Martinez’s 7-3 records, 2.80 ERA signify just how well he has thrown this year, so a date with the Marlins should be nothing short of another strong showing.

Jonathon Niese, Mets, $12,800 – Unlike Martinez, Jonathon Niese will be pitching on the road as an underdog. Still, he makes for a great tournament option because the Brewers bats disappear against left-handers. Though their offense isn’t quite as bad as the White Sox against lefties, they are the second to last place team in a lot of categories. They rank in the bottom two of wOBA, AVG and OBP against LHP while striking out at the 10th highest K rate. Like the Cubs against RHP, they have some pop, but what does it really matter if they are only a threat to hit solo HRs? At this cheap price tag, Niese has the upside to greatly surpass value against a weak Brewers offense and allows the ability to fit in some of the Coors bats comfortably.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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