Here’s Jhonny

Pitching options are “aplenty” on Sunday, so finding the right bats is going to be of the utmost importance. Here are my plays for Sunday, June 21st:

Infield:

Jhonny Peralta, Cardinals, $8,300 – Things are heating up in St. Louis as we head into the first official day of summer… and by “things,” I mean the Cardinals’ bats. The Cardinals have scored double digit runs in back-to-back games. During that stretch, Jhonny Peralta is 4-8 with one extra base hit (a double) and four RBI. For his career, Peralta’s platoon splits have preferred hitting against LHP, and the two starters in the previous games were righties. On Sunday, Peralta will face off against Adam Morgan, who is making his major league debut. Peralta owns a career wOBA 0.018 points higher and a career ISO 0.042 points higher against LHP. All of the Cardinals right-handed bats are in play in this game and Peralta is my favorite of the bunch.

Jung-Ho Kang, Pirates, $6,600 – Career leader among active Rangers against LHP is none other than… Jung-Ho Kang? That’s right, in his short major league career Kang has actually hit left-handers harder (better wOBA) than Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte for their career. Okay, so that’s not really comparing apples to apples since this is Kang’s first big league season and both Starling Marte and Francisco Cervelli have higher wOBAs against LHP in 2015. Still, the point is Kang has held his own. Nationals probable Gio Gonzalez and Kang have understandably never faced one another, but there is plenty of reason to like the matchup. Gonzalez is struggling with a four year high BB rate and Kang walks more than any hitter on the team against LHP. Gonzalez’s WHIP sits at 1.55 for the season and Kang’s OBP versus LHP is .412. Basically, there are a variety of ways Kang will be able to produce fantasy points in this one, so you have to feel good about rostering him.

Outfield:

Ryan Braun, Brewers, $10,200 – It’s the same old story as the past few days for Ryan Braun. He’s by far the team’s best hitter against LHP for his career and will square off against another lefty in Chris Rusin. The team will be playing in the best hitters’ ballpark in baseball. Vegas projects the over/under in this game at 10.5 with the Rockies only slight favorites. This means both teams are expected to produce around five runs. There’s just no way you can fade Braun in this one and I wouldn’t be doing my job unless I kept mentioning him because the Brewers only play in Coors so many times.

George Springer, Astros, $9,200 – Opposing starter J.A. Happ has pitched above expectations this season considering his 4.20 career ERA (3.79 ERA this season). He throws 91-92 (91.4 mph average fastball according to FanGraphs) with below average breaking pitches. In 2015, Springer is hitting .277 overall with 11 HRs. He has homered six times in 158 ABs against RHP and five times in 80 AB against LHP. In other words, he generates more power against lefties and just seems more comfortable against them. He owns a wOBA over .400 (.406) against lefties this season with an impressive .238 ISO and .406 OBP. Mix in the stolen base potential and you have the recipe for an elite tournament play.

Pitcher:

Jake Arrieta, Cubs, $18,400 – Last time out, I recommended Jake Arrieta simply because the slate was weak and the alternatives were less than optimal. This time out, the slate is strong and he is still worthy of consideration. Target Field, home of the Twins, is a middle of the road hitters’ park but way more favorable to the pitcher than Arrieta’s home park (Wrigley Field). The Twins’ .297 wOBA, 84 wRC+, .244 BA and .296 OBP as a team against RHP all rank bottom nine. Arrieta’s K/9 sits above nine as he’s fanned 89 batters in 82.0 IP in 2015. A talented pitcher versus a weak opponent certainly is the formula daily fantasy players look for. Arrieta ranks as my number one starting pitcher on the slate.

Michael Wacha, Cardinals, $17,700 – Michael Wacha opened up a Clayton Kershaw-esque -230 in this one, indicating just how safe of a pick he appears to be. He’ll face the Phillies in Philadelphia against a rookie making his first career start. Vegas must be assuming the rookie pitcher allows runs to this red hot Cardinals lineup and the over/under is still only 7.5. Wacha isn’t an elite strikeout pitcher but he’s skilled and squaring off against the worst wOBA team versus RHP (along with just about every other category). Although Arrieta comes with more upside, Wacha comes with the least amount of risk.

Julio Teheran, Braves, $15,000 – After compiling back-to-back seasons with at least 14 wins and a 3.20 ERA or lower, Julio Teheran‘s 2015 has been nothing short of disappointing so far. His ERA sits at 5.07 with a 1.47 WHIP, so it’s been a rocky road so far. While squaring off against Matt Harvey isn’t exactly the ideal setup for a season-long slump buster, there’s a lot to like about the matchup today. The Mets rank bottom ten in wOBA, wRC+, ISO, BB rate, AVG and OBP against RHP. Teheran’s ERA is 7.17 away from Turner Field, but luckily for him this game will be played at home. His season home ERA sits at 2.77, which is way more Teheran-esque…at least from the Teheran we have grown to love the past few seasons. While the win probability is low against an ace, all the indications are present to signify a solid outing.

Yovani Gallardo, Rangers, $14,000 – I know, I am shocked too at just how effective Gallardo has been switching over from the National League to the American League in a pretty decent hitters’ ballpark. Right now Gallardo’s ERA sits at 3.16, which would be better than his ERA last year in Milwaukee (3.51) and his career mark (3.66). In 14 starts this season, Gallardo has yet to allow more than four ER and has allowed more than three just twice. The Rangers will head to Chicago to face the White Sox, which are a team Gallardo shut down on Jun. 4. He went 6.0 IP with zero ER (one unearned) and four Ks. Only the Indians and Mariners have scored less runs than the White Sox in the month of June, so their offense continues to struggle against just about everyone. You have to like Gallardo’s prospects once again in this one since he apparently has turned into Mr. Consistency.

Cody Anderson, Indians, $8,200 – As a cheap option, you can do much worse than a top prospect against a bottom 10 offense versus RHP. Here’s what you need to know about Cody Anderson: he won the Bob Feller award in 2013 as the Indians top minor league pitcher. In 2014, he went 4-11 with a 5.44 ERA, so he did not pitch well. This season though, he has recovered. In 52 IP in AA, he went 3-2 with a 1.73 and then was promoted to AAA in early June. His three starts were excellent as he posted a 2.33 ERA and a 1-1 record, then he received the call up. He’s pitching well this season and draws a plus matchup in his first career start, so he’s worth a shot if you can get substantial bats into your lineup along with him.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply