L.A.’s Andre is No Outkast

Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster.

Infield:

Carlos Correa, Astros, $8,400 – It’s a limited sample size in the majors but Carlos Correa has picked up where he left off in the minors in terms of mashing lefties. Between AA and AAA combined this season, Correa hit .439 against LHP (25/57) and is hitting .357 against them so far in the majors. That’s enough for me to call this a trend and Correa faces one yet again on Tuesday…and this one is coming off of an outing in which he allowed a season high six ER. Chris Rusin should once again have a difficult time in this outing as the Astros certainly have power if nothing else. Oh yeah, and they also have Correa who should have a field day.

Manny Machado, Orioles, $9,700 – Have to love the leadoff men in cash games considering many games they will get five opportunities to produce. When the hitter is as talented as Manny Machado, that’s icing on the cake. Combine the talent with the matchup against Jerome Williams and his 5.71 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and you have the perfect mix. The Orioles opened as -185 favorites in a home run – friendly ballpark and a projected Vegas over/under of 9. In other words, Vegas predicts there will be plenty of scoring in this game and heavily believe most of it will come from Baltimore. Who better to rely on than the table setter of the offense? The answer: no one, especially in cash games.

Outfield:

Justin Upton, Padres, $8,600 – After a poor May where he posted a 4.65, Scott Kazmir has settled down in two June starts (2.13 ERA in 12.2 IP). His splits suggest he much prefers pitching in the Oakland Coliseum because he possesses a 4.29 ERA on the road and has allowed a .285 AVG (versus .148 at home). Even though Petco Park is a pitcher friendly ballpark, Justin Upton will not make him feel at home. Only Matt Kemp has a higher career wOBA against lefties than Upton on the Padres but his .392 career OBP is tops on the team. Kazmir posted two straight seasons with sub-3.00 BB/9 tallies but this season the number is back up around his career average of 3.7. A wild pitcher facing a lefty killer that finds his way on base against lefties? Sounds like a recipe for success to me.

Andre Ethier, Dodgers, $7,700 – I’m sorry but Chi Chi Gonzalez simply is not this good. In his short major league career, his numbers on the surface look fantastic: 2-1 record, 0.42 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and .176 AVG against. However, his peripherals (FIP, xFIP) suggest this is about to come to a crashing hault. He also has stranded 95.8 percent of baserunners whereas the upper 70s is a great tally over the course of the season. Also, a 3.32 K/9? 3.32? Basically once he stops stranding the runners and when the balls start finding holes, Gonzalez is going to hit a major wall. I think it will start at home against the Dodgers and their number one offense versus RHP on Tuesday and Ethier should lead the charge. His .407 wOBA versus RHP this season is absolutely ridiculous and his price does not reflect that. He’s a great bargain and can be unleashed in all formats.

Pitcher:

Michael Wacha, Cardinals, $17,800 – Although Wacha’s splits favor pitching on the road this season (2.08 ERA away from Busch Stadium versus 3.24 at home), this matchup is too juicy to pass on. The Twins are a team you do not want to target with an opposing LHP but righties are all systems go. For the year, the Twins are hitting .241 against RHP with a .292 OBP, both of which are tied for second to last in the majors. By comparison, a league average team (the teams tied for 15th) are hitting .256 a piece. They also strike out the seventh most in baseball against righties and rank in the bottom six of walk rate. I like Wacha in this one if only for lack of resistance he should face but the Twins losing their designated hitter in a NL ballpark certainly helps as well.

Jose Quintana, White Sox, $16,500 – What in the world? The Pirates opened up as -170 favorites but the over/under in this one is only 7.5. This seems a little extreme considering Charlie Morton will be on the mound. As mentioned in yesterday’s picks article, the Pirates are a weak opponent against LHP and do not walk very much. On Monday night, Carlos Rodon was roughed up by them but only walked one. Jose Quintana will attempt some redemption on Tuesday as he is more of a seasoned veteran than Rodon. He also has a walk rate just about half of Rodon’s so he is much more efficient with his pitches. I am going to trust the season statistics here and fire up Quintana despite the large underdog status. He is a risky cash play but can be deployed in GPP due to the K upside of the Pirates and the pitcher instead of DH.

Tim Lincecum, Giants, $15,100 – The former Cy Young winner and alleged Fast Times at Ridgemont High cast member faces a powerful Mariners team on Tuesday. Luckily for Lincecum, they will be heading to AT&T Park which ranks as a top five most difficult park to hit the ball out of. Aside from raw power, the Mariners offense does not have much else to offer. Guys like Mark Trumbo and Mike Zunino are all or nothing type bats. As a whole, the Mariners offense ranks bottom 10 in wOBA, AVG and OBP against RHP and is tied for third in strikeout rate. Lincecum’s K/9 currently sits at a career low 7.2 but the Mariners should be the magic elixir. In a ballpark that should help protect him from the home run, he makes for a nice cash option due to lack of elite SP on the slate.

Chris Tillman, Orioles, $12,800 – Feeling risky? Pitching is absolutely brutal so it may take a risk in order to win. Chris Tillman is amidst a miserable season but at least his June ERA (4.50) would be his best month thus far if it held. He has pitched into the sixth inning in both of his June starts which can be considered a minor victory the way his year has gone. This is more of a matchup play as the Phillies literally rank dead last in baseball in wOBA, wRC+, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit percentage against RHP. They are basically a quad A minor league team which makes just about any righty who faces them appealing. In a slate without many appealing options, Tillman makes sense at his discount.

 

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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